Regional Climate Downscaling by Artificial Neural Network

Main Article Content

Wachiraporn Permpoonsinsup
Dusadee Sukawat*

Abstract

Global models for climate change show that in the future temperature of the world is raising. However, regions of the world may experience different changes in temperature. Moreover, the regional climate changes are stronger than the global change. The main idea in this paper is to interrelate regional climate parameters to large-scale variables using an interpolation technique. Interpolation is used to downscale the output from global to regional climate models. Network is also used to train temperature data based on neural network technique. The temperature data from the National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) reanalysis data are trained for temperature at Bangkok. In training phase, the error are minimized and artificial neural networks (ANNs) are adjusted for the connect weights. Accordingly, output data from the regional model are compared with observation data of the Thai Meteorological Department.


Keywords: Downscaling, Artificial Neural Network.


E-mail: [email protected]

Article Details

Section
Original Research Articles

References

[1] Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Chen, Z., Marquis, M., Averyt, K.B., Tignor, M. and Miller, H.L. eds, 2007. Climate Change 2007-The Physical Science Basis, 4th ed. New York: Cambridge University Press.
[2] Hsu, C.C. and Chen, C.Y., 2002. Regional load forecasting in Taiwan applications of artificial neural networks, Energy Conversion and Management, 44(12), 1941-1949.
[3] Tasadduq, I., Rehman, S. and Bubshaita, K., 2002. Application of neural networks for the prediction of hourly mean surface temperatures in Saudi Arabia, Renewable Energy, 25(4),545-554.
[4] Dibike, Y.B. and Coulibaly, P., 2006. Temporal neural networks for downscaling climate variability and extremes, Neural Networks, 19(2), 135-144.
[5] Kumar, S., 2010. Neural networks, New Delhi: Tata McGraw Hill Education Private Limited.
[6] Fausett, L.V., 1994. Fundamentals of Neural Networks, New Jersey: Prentice-Hall.
[7] Dohnal, I.J., 2004. Using of Levenberg-Marquardt method in Identification by Neural Networks, STUDENT EEICT.
[8] Pradeep, T., Srinivasu, P., Avadhani, P.S. and Murthy, Y.V.S., 2007. Comparison of variable learning rate and Levenberg-Marquardt back-propagation training algorithms for detecting attacks in Intrusion Detection Systems, International Journal on Computer Science and Engineering (UCSE), 3(11), 3572-3581.
[9] Hagan, M.T. and Menhaj, M.B., 1994. Training feedforward networks with the Marquardt Algorithm, IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks, 5(6), 989-993.
[10] Atkinson, Han, and Weimin, 2006. Elementary Numerical Analysis, 3 rd ed, New Jersey:Upper Saddle River.