Detection and Prediction of Land-Use Changes at Doi Suthep-Pui National Park, Chiang Mai Province

Main Article Content

Sutheera Hermhuk
Dokrak Marod

Abstract

The study about land-use changes, especially in conserved forests, is necessary to determine the processes of management and protection of the area. This study aimed to detect land-use changes between 2000, 2008, and 2016 and predict the situation in the year 2024 in the Doi Suthep-Pui National Park, Chiang Mai province. Landsat–5TM (2000) and Landsat–8TM (2008 and 2016) satellite images were analyzed to predict the land–use changes around 2024 combined with an analysis between geographic information system (GIS) and CA–Markov model using the geospatial monitoring and modeling program. Temporary plots of size 30 m x 30 m (similar to satellite image resolution), were established in each land-use type to check the ground accuracy.


            The results showed that the forest area in Doi Suthep-Pui National Park decreased during the study period (16 years). Through the first period (2000-2008), 2.19 km2 and second period (2008-2016), 5.05 km2 of forest changed to either agriculture or urban lands, especially mixed deciduous forest and lower montane forest. There was a similar trend in the 2024 prediction, showing an effect on the distribution of forest patches. A habitat loss would be expected to result in a biodiversity, thus, a management plan in the future should be developed to practice sustainable land-use changes.

Article Details

How to Cite
Hermhuk, S., & Marod, D. (2020). Detection and Prediction of Land-Use Changes at Doi Suthep-Pui National Park, Chiang Mai Province. Thai Journal of Forestry, 39(1), 97–109. Retrieved from https://li01.tci-thaijo.org/index.php/tjf/article/view/245970
Section
Original Articles

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