Predicting Obesity Prevalence in Pathum Thani Province
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Abstract
The prevalence of obesity in Pathum Thani province came from a quarterly survey of people aged 15 years and over who are obese (body mass index 25 kg/m2 or more) and/or have abdominal obesity (waist circumference over 90 cm for men and 80 cm for women) in the fiscal year 2013–2023, which increased from 28.48 percent to 36.91 percent. Grey System Theory is a time series method with accepted mathematical properties that can be used to predict time series with small amounts of data. The result showed that the GM (1,1) expanded periodic correction model (GM (1,1) EPC) predicts the percentage prevalence of obesity in fiscal year 2024 equal to 36.51 with the minimum mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) at 1.93 percent, which decreased from fiscal year 2023 by 0.40 percent.
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บทความที่ได้รับการตีพิมพ์เป็นลิขสิทธิ์ของคณะวิทยาศาสตร์และเทคโนโลยี มหาวิทยาลัยธรรมศาสตร์ ข้อความที่ปรากฏในแต่ละเรื่องของวารสารเล่มนี้เป็นเพียงความเห็นส่วนตัวของผู้เขียน ไม่มีความเกี่ยวข้องกับคณะวิทยาศาสตร์และเทคโนโลยี หรือคณาจารย์ท่านอื่นในมหาวิทยาลัยธรรมศาสตร์ ผู้เขียนต้องยืนยันว่าความรับผิดชอบต่อทุกข้อความที่นำเสนอไว้ในบทความของตน หากมีข้อผิดพลาดหรือความไม่ถูกต้องใด ๆ
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